台幣重貶，那麼國內原物料價格？？

taiwanp · 發表於 2011-9-23 07:52:17

進口原物料是不是又要抬升了？？？

fellegg · 發表於 2011-9-23 09:18:52

昨天期貨玉米掉了30多(5%)/英斗
應該是掉的比匯率快( 美金掉2∼3%)

shapen · 發表於 2011-9-23 10:14:24

有警覺就好~~~:41ade

蘇少儀 · 發表於 2011-9-23 13:56:08

個人判斷
一時性的（科技廠商調節美元及臺幣部位）
國際原油及商品價格亦下跌中（與美元反向走勢）

團長 · 發表於 2011-9-23 19:42:26

創造出口優勢讓台幣貶
台幣貶進口物價就貴
玉米貴飼料貴豬肉貴
消費者荷包也是縮水:093

nanahbi · 發表於 2011-9-23 23:43:17

台幣貶值的原因是投資者跑去買美金，
而央行也放手誏台幣貶值，不全然是刺激出口或是和韓國車拚。
美元突然變得值錢，為什麼？前陣子美國不是猛印鈔票誏美元貶值好少些外債嗎？
之前提過全球投資的錢就像大洋的水，雖然叫太平洋，印度洋，大西洋，但都是連在一起，那裏地震到處受災，只是輕重不同。投資人現在處在四面楚歌的情況，歐盟不能去，亞洲看中國（通澎）目前態度曖昧，美國猛印鈔票。突然間美國不再印鈔票了，他用之前多印的錢買很多黃金（實貨），現在說，我不再印鈔票，因為有黃金，到期短期債可以先還，然後再發行長期公債，利息不多但至少不蝕本。
世界資金現在丟在任何市場都很可怕，因都在相對或是歷史高點，現在美國丟出發新公債，為了保本，而且是長期債券，苗頭不對還有時間少賠跳車。
美國農產品期貨在等中國出手，如果你是中國要這時候出手嗎？中國很清楚現在期貨價是炒出來的，他當然是非買不可，重點是買多少什麼時候買對中國最有利。中國物價上漲情況似乎沒有舒緩，他利用政府投資來創造就業率，但也讓物價扶搖直上。他沒理由買一些貴到不行的進口品來推升物價。除非非買不可。
黃小玉，非買不可，我想會跌一下子，然後撐一陣子，中國再不出手，再跌一下子，反覆至中國出手為止。
台灣玉米九元的日子不遠了。

團長 · 發表於 2011-9-24 00:51:40

可否推薦要像你這樣了解總體經濟可看哪些好書啊
感恩ㄋㄟ:080

蘇少儀 · 發表於 2011-9-24 07:36:11

不用讀書，從2007年起每天閱讀經濟相關新聞就可以成為經濟學家了....................
金融海嘯，各國政府遵奉凱因斯學說，相繼舉債推出經濟振興方案（臺灣的消費券，擴大就業方案...............沒忘吧！），美國次貸風暴，聯準會推出QE1，QE2，TARP，救銀行，救經濟，買回國債，美國提高國債上限，PIIGS等國家債信評等，美國債信評等.........學不完．就從今天學起吧！！！

臺灣經濟基本面非常強，美元計價交易的廠商每年需要調節美元及臺幤部位．央行一年中就會...............順勢............（匯率由市場供需決定，沒有操緃匯市）讓這些廠商調節手中各幣別的部位．
夫未戰而廟算勝者，得算多也；未戰而廟算不勝者，得算少也；多算勝，少算不勝，而況於無算乎？吾以此觀之，勝負見矣。

回歸養豬
全球經濟走緩
如果美金走強（臺幣盯美元），油價及商品價格疲軟
替代能源玩不下去
玉米相對過剩，價格會怎麼走.........................
走著瞧！！！大家笑哈！！哈！！哈！！哈！！

大家手中現金多
擴養
生產過剩
大家...........................................哭啼啼
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Oil falls below $80 per barrel on demand concerns

Sandy Shore, AP Business Writer, On Friday September 23, 2011, 3:29 pm EDT

Oil falls below $80 per barrel as slow global economy raises questions about future demand
Oil fell for a third straight day on Friday on worries that the global economy is headed for recession and could cut demand for crude.
Economies around the world are at risk of stalling, and that has punished prices of stocks and commodities. U.S. political leaders are in a standoff that could force the government to shut down, a manufacturing survey suggested a slowdown in China, and Europe hasn't solved its banking crisis.
Moody's downgraded eight Greek banks, because of the country's deteriorating economy. The concern is that a Greek default could hurt other nations in Europe and beyond.
When the economy slows, do does demand for oil.
"People are just afraid that demand is going to be affected in a negative way and that's pulling prices back down," said Tom Bentz, an analyst at BNP Paribas Commodity Futures.
After a broad decline the day before, stock markets on Friday wavered between small gains and losses, while many commodities -- including gold -- continued to drop.
A day after it plunged more than 6 percent, Benchmark U.S. oil fell 66 cents to finish at $79.85 per barrel. The price of oil still is almost $5 a barrel more than a year ago. Analysts expect it to stay between $75 and $90 per barrel until there is a better picture of what's ahead for the global economy.
U.S. benchmark oil hit $113.93 a barrel on April 29. But high unemployment in the U.S. -- the world's biggest oil consumer -- and signs of a slowing economy in China -- the second largest oil consumer -- pulled crude down.
At the pump, gas prices fell almost 2 cents Friday to a national average of $3.54 per gallon, according to AAA, Wright Express and the Oil Price Information Service. That's about half-way between the high of $3.98 on May 5 and the low of $3.03 on Jan. 3.
Brent crude, which is used to price many kinds of oil produced overseas, fell $1.52 to end at $103.97 per barrel.
In other energy trading, heating oil fell 5.2 cents to finish at $2.8059 per gallon, gasoline futures dropped 1.93 cents to finish at $2.5244 per gallon and natural gas fell less than a cent to end the day at $3.701 per 1,000 cubic feet.

[ 本帖最後由蘇少儀於 2011-9-24 09:07 編輯 ]